The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) has now released its 2018 Third Quarter Housing Forecast Update.
Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) residential sales in the province are forecast to decline 21 per cent to 82,000 units this year, after recording 103,768 residential sales in 2017. MLS® residential sales are forecast to increase by 8 per cent to 88,700 units in 2019. The 10-year average for MLS® residential sales in the province is 84,800 units.
The BC housing market is grappling with a sharp decline in affordability caused by tough B20 stress test rules for conventional mortgages, said Cameron Muir, BCREA Chief Economist. While these rules have had a negative effect on housing demand across the country, the impact has been especially severe in BCs large urban centres because of already strained housing affordability.
In spite of the policy-driven downturn in housing demand, strong fundamentals continue to underpin the market. Demographics are highly...